If he and the Rockies can find a way to be on time against fastballs, then theres a shot for a real breakout here, but its tough to ask that of someone who, to this point, has been successful. The young flamethrower has a super high ceiling and looks like he can man the front of a rotation one day, but that mostly depends on his ability to add strength. Eders delivery has changed since college. MLB.com's free scouting report says Cols can "play all three outfield positions and projects to hit in the middle of the order." At this time last year, they were signing Dominican shortstop Hans Montero. The international signing period usually runs from July 2 to June 15, but because of the COVID-19 pandemic, MLB and the MLBPA agreed to push back the start of the last two signing periods to Jan. 15. lvarez only ran a 75% Z-contact and 66% overall contact rate in the minors, which is near the bottom of the big league catching continuum, and almost identical to Joey Bart and Jorge Alfaro, who have struggled to find big league footing on offense. His swing is a Mookie Betts clone, rhythmic and athletic, though Rafaela doesnt take a very discerning at-bat the way Betts does, chasing at a whopping 40% clip in 2022. He pitched a couple innings on the complex, skipped Low-A, threw seven High-A innings, skipped Double-A, then closed the season out with two appearances in Las Vegas and a stint in the Fall League. He is a fringe receiver and ball-blocker with a 45 arm. He signed for $5.1 million in 2019 as easily the toolsiest player in his signing class, a plus-plus running center fielder with huge switch-hitting power. We can quibble over whether A-ball dynamics have changed due to the elimination of the short season leagues in a way that might invalidate historical precedents like this, but its reasonable to have some pause about Williams long-term prospectdom when you realize the closest 2022 comp for his contact data (66% contact%, 78% z-contact) was Paul DeJong. His rate of hard, impact contact is near the top of the scouting scale when you adjust for age and is already comfortably plus relative to the big league rates in some areas (like barrel rate). He should be the Mets primary catcher as soon as most of the big league pitching staff feels confident and comfortable throwing to him. At the same time, players like Victor Acosta, Gabriel Gonzalez, Cristian Santana, Samuel Zavala, Junior Marin, and Carlos Jorge went from afterthoughts to coveted stashes. The progress Williams made at ECU amid these issues (some of which date back to high school) was remarkable. Hollidays range, hands, actions and arm are all above average, while his baseball instincts and internal clock are both very good, and season his defensive skill set enough to project him as a long-term shortstop even if he keeps getting bigger. Yordany De Los Santos, SS, Dominican Republic Pirates ($1,200,000) More 13. And Carroll can really motor: hes a no-doubt 80 runner and routinely posts sub-4.00 second times to first base. Throw in the visual twitch and athleticism, and this is the player Spotifys algorithm would recommend to FanGraphs if prospects were musical artists. He spent the bulk of the 2022 season at High-A, where he slugged .513 with 20 home runs and 19 doubles, earning him an early-August bump up to Double-A, where his slugging remained roughly the same while he brought his strikeout rate down a couple ticks. The Rangers then took an aggressive approach, assigning him directly to Double-A Frisco for his first year of pro ball in 2022. Keith may not have a position, but he has a pretty stable hit/power combination that will profile at third if he can actually stay there. Adan Sanchez, INF, Panama Cubs ($1,500,000) More 44. Maybe even a Cy Young winner or an MVP. He also dealt with an eye condition that would later require surgery to strengthen the collagen fibers within his cornea, surgery he had in 2020 while he also reworked his mechanics. Hence was picked up in the shortened 2020 draft, one of the youngest players taken that year, and in 2021 threw just eight innings on the complex, virtually all in relief. small market teams) get a little bonus pool boost. The Rangers took him 50th overall and he signed for $1.25 million. 10) and Yankees shortstop Oswald Peraza (No. This is mind blowing when you consider that Rafaela has only been playing the outfield for two years. The 20-year-old finished the season having performed exactly at the Double-A league average over his 86 games there despite being about four years younger than the average player at that level. The upright nature of this adjusted swing has impacted Meads plate coverage a bit, and he swung through lots of high fastballs and sliders that finished on the outer third of the zone in 2022. He had a paltry 7% swinging strike rate to go along with an amazing 90% z-contact% and 85% overall contact rate. At times, it has typical sink and tail; at others, it has sink and careens toward Allens glove side like a slider. Victor Izturis, C, Venezuela Guardians ($1,150,000) More 41. Despite the number of international prospects to emerge as elite MLB players in recent years, its still a risky proposition in general. The base signing pool for the Astros, Blue Jays, Braves, Cardinals, Cubs, Giants, Mets, Nationals, White Sox and Yankees is $5,284,000. -- $500,000Rafael Alvarez, 3B, D.R. But the meal ticket here is still Ramos hit and power combination. A draft-eligible sophomore in 2022 and a career .360/.450/.655 hitter, his numbers improved in his sophomore year even though he faced SEC pitching, and he was considered one of the more bankable prospects in the 2023 draft despite lacking a true defensive home. -- $600,000, AstrosGerman Ramirez, SS, D.R. document.getElementById("comment").setAttribute( "id", "a7bf68d6b9a4d3fa424865cb41953ca6" );document.getElementById("fe53143262").setAttribute( "id", "comment" ); Save my name, email, and website in this browser for the next time I comment. His upper-70s curveball has more depth, but Miller rarely throws it for strikes, while his changeup is the inverse and lives around the zone but doesnt usually have big action. : Royals+ ($450,000) More 50. Minnesota sent Lee to High-A almost immediately and he raked there, blowing scouts away. He tends to work contact to center and right field, especially against fastballs, and he has a clear two-strike approach where he ditches his leg kick and takes a more conservative swing. 1. A complete prospect and a total baseball rat, Lawlar had been a touted amateur as an underclassman and held serve as a near top-of-the-class talent for two or three years, even amid the volatility of the 2020 draft process. Lucianos bat speed is incredible but his barrel accuracy is not. Keith was in the AFL because he missed all but about two months of the regular season with a shoulder injury. The amount of power here is sensational. It is possible this will be the last international free agency class ever. Despite the extreme amount of chase, Rafaela only Kd at a 21% rate and also doubled his previous career high in homers with 21. 2022 MLB Draft While our 2021 Top Prospects list continues to expand and mature, today we take a look even further into the future and the Top 100 prospects in the 2022 class. Hilariously, Mayos swing is perhaps well-suited for the current metagame because so many contemporary fastballs ride to the top of the strike zone, which is where Mayos barrel hunts. Hes still risky as a prospect but has big upside. He also has sizable raw power thanks to his plus bat speed and a promising early-career bat-to-ball track record. This level of athleticism might be an indication that Rodriguez will find a way to mature into more raw power despite not having a traditionally projectable frame. Davis has huge, plus-plus raw power, and will be a star if he can stay behind the plate or a solid everyday first baseman if he cant. Thirty-one of the players on the 2022 Top 50 International Prospects list are from the Dominican Republic. The tweaks have made Eders slider one of the nastier on the planet (2021 pitch data showed a 300 rpm uptick from his college slider to his pro one), with some of them looking like theyre headed into the ribs of left-handed hitters before bending over the plate. Lee is a skilled, switch-hitting shortstop (for now) with power. Hes not quite as deft a hitter from the right side, but hes still plenty dangerous. PCA is one of the best defensive center fielders in the sport and a swing change unlocked dormant power in 2022. He was a known bat-first prospect from California but time off recovering from a shoulder surgery and the pandemic made him tough to properly evaluate before the draft, tough enough that he was not generally seen as a first round prospect. He has an ideal pitchers frame, his gorgeous delivery generated mid-90s velocity with huge riding life at the top of the zone, his changeup is one of the better amateur changeups most scouts have ever seen, and before his elbow blew out during his draft spring, his curveball looked like it had gotten better. PRODUCT HIGHLIGHTS - Each box of Onyx Vintage Extended comes with two On-Card Autographs from baseball stars such as Juan Soto and Rafael Devers! He commands it consistently enough to his glove side to project as a starter. Tony Blanco Jr., OF, Dominican Republic Pirates ($900,000) More 12. Over the last year or so, hes thickened like a roux and become stronger, and hes capable of doing more damage than our tepid projection expected. And lvarez wants to show you his power. Back in Port St. Lucie to start 2022, Ramirez was red hot for the first month of the season, slashing a whopping .385/.423/.606 while cutting his strikeout rate by about 42% (from 31% to 18%), though his walk rate also dipped. Hassell doesnt have premium ball-striking power and is probably a corner outfielder, so the contact piece of his profile needs to rebound in a big way for him to continue projecting as a regular. Roderick Arias, shortstop, Dominican Republic The top prospect in the class, Arias has plus-arm potential. This approach will probably cause Pages to produce batting averages that are actually beneath his true talent feel to hit, but its also a big part of why hes such a dangerous hitter, one likely to have peak seasons with 30-plus home runs. The Tigers did their homework and signed him for an over-slot bonus in the fifth round, where many teams had written him off as unsignable. Drafted as a glove-first shortstop prospect, Volpe had a uninspiring professional debut, but he totally transformed himself during the lost pandemic season and returned in 2021 with one of the best campaigns in all of the minor leagues, slugging .604 across two levels. Except Ortiz hit 19 homers and had 60 total extra-base hits in the upper-minors last year, and while he doesnt project to produce that kind of power against big league stuff, its enough damage to project Ortizs offense above the median bar at shortstop. Here Berry projects as a DH. The Dodgers and Rangers each forfeited $1,000,000 from their pools for signing players who had rejected qualifying offers to lower their pool to $4,144,000. Hes a compact-framed, contact-oriented middle infielder from a smaller conference, but Neto gets the most out of his body by taking very athletic, high-octane swings. Theres substantial bust risk here but the ceiling is huge, too big to move off of Hernandez after a whiff-prone first year stateside. At the peak of my pursuit, I would use every pick I had in an FYPD on international prospects. Most of Rafaelas underlying contact and power data is middling, and his peak exit velos arent what youd typically expect from a 20-homer threat, except he does seem to hit the ball fairly hard and in the air very frequently relative to his peak exits. March 1, 2023. Drafting toolsy, athletic players with high marks in power and speed is a legitimate approach. He has plus feet, range, and actions, and will make throws from all kinds of odd platforms, including when hes backhanding balls to his right and throwing on the run. Mayo keeps hitting despite his odd swing, and we think the hit/power combo will be enough for him to be an impact player, even with a move off the dirt projected. At times Jung looked totally lost late in 2022 when he finally returned from the shoulder surgery. Filippo Di Turi, SS, Ven. Even with Justin Turners departure, the Dodgers are better equipped at third base than they are in the outfield, so Vargas is poised to see time at second base and in left field in 2023. Allens fastball has other traits that help it punch above its weight, and he commands it with machine-like regularity to the locations in which it is most effective. - Top Minor League Prospects, many of the 2022 1st round Draft Picks, 2023 projected #1 pick Dylan Crews and top International prospects Ethan Salas/ Brando Mayea. Nitpicking about his swing actualization is fine because were talking about one of baseballs best prospects, but the foundation of present skills and tools combined with Jones physical projection makes him a potential franchise-altering superstar. He tends to throw his two breaking balls (his curveballs shape pairs especially nicely with his fastball) in the zone, often early in counts, and then use the fastball as a finishing pitch. Rodriguezs arm is comfortably plus. The Houston Astros officially signed Panamanian right-handed pitcher Antony Aparicio to a minor-league contract Thursday. Stone raced to the upper levels of the minors and generated one of the highest swinging strike rates among Double-A pitchers who threw at least 70 innings in 2022. Here I highlight the 2022 International class and a little about a few of them. That's why Shohei Ohtani had to sign a minor league deal with the Angels a few years ago. Its tough for hitters who are looking for a fastball to do anything with them, even though Millers feel for locating his secondaries (especially his sinking changeup and low-80s curveball) is not sharp. Salas is expected to command close to $5 million next January. From a heuristics standpoint, you cant do much better than Rodriguezs profile. -- $800,000Bladimir Pichardo, RHP, D.R. He is more than capable of making a subset of plays at third, where his range and lateral agility are both plus, but he really struggles to make plays coming in on the grass. He started the season at High-A, advancing to Double-A in late May, where his strikeout rate increased slightly, but not at all to a concerning degree. He issued more strikeouts and lowered his WHIP, all while racking up more innings and advancing two levels without showing many growing pains in the process. Cristopher Larez, SS, Ven. -- $300,000, MarlinsJancory De La Cruz, OF, D.R. Scouts were blown away by his power and speed, but swing-and-miss issues were a concern. Henderson, still just the age of a college draft prospect, had one of the best offensive performances in minor league baseball in 2022 and made his big league debut late in the season. Despite some of the length and violence in Millers delivery, hes demonstrated that he can sustain elite velocity deep into each start, throw strikes, and (so far) keep his arm healthy, as his only career IL stint was for an oblique strain. While his peak exit velocities have long been tops among his peers, college and pro, he didnt really start launching homers until after he was drafted, when it appears his swing and approach changed. Scouts who saw him after Labor Day thought the quality and utility of his breaking balls (while still good) had also backed up a bit. The ETAs listed generally correspond to the year a player has to be added to the 40-man roster to avoid being made eligible for the Rule 5 draft. Theres an All-Star-caliber hit and power combination here, and while a bigger pro data sample might reveal some approach-related issues, Johnson has been one of the best hitters his age for going on a half decade and feels like a relatively high-probability high school hitting prospect. Lever length still limits Batys ability to make consistent, quality contact in certain part of the zone, but he still shows you impressive barrel control as he tries to get the bat where it needs to be. Hes as likely to make an incredible play as he is to botch a routine one. -- $500,000Jose Monzon, INF, D.R. As of list publication, Rodriguez is one of just two catchers on Pittsburghs 40-man roster, and while its possible hes beaten out by a veteran non-roster invitee like Tyler Heineman or Kevin Plawecki, Rodriguezs defensive chops and versatility give him a shot to break camp with the big club, split time with Austin Hedges, and moonlight at one or two other positions before eventually seizing the primary catcher job. Just three days after signing, Jones suffered a left posterior labral tear while hitting, another glitch in the Matrix that seems to be causing every high-profile Diamondbacks prospect to suffer a severe shoulder injury. A bat-only prospect with a well-rounded offensive skill set, Busch may end up a 30-grade second base defender or just play 1B/LF. In fact, his dastardly mid-80s splitter, which falls off the table and finishes below the strike zone, is easily his best offering, garnering twice as many swings and misses as his fastball in 2022, and about as many whiffs as the rest of his many pitches combined. Plus, a Dodgers source indicated to FanGraphs that theyll continue to play Busch at second base despite his issues in the hopes he can develop there. His arm slot is not as deliberately north/south as before, but his fastball still plays as an in-zone bat-misser because of his angle and carry. as a junior at Campbell in 2022. Your email address will not be published. He turned out to have a stress fracture in his lower back, which the Giants revealed as players reported to camp at the start of 2023. : Cubs ($1,000,000) More 20. He has special hand-eye coordination and bat-to-ball skill, as well as a tremendous idea of the strike zone. His huge strides enable him to cover a ton of ground in center field and he is a not only a viable defender out there right now, but he looks like a future plus glove. 2022 Top 100 Midseason Prospects Reports Live Looks Baseball Cards TDBC Sign Up ADP Standings More Beyond Baseball Games Shop Article Archives Staff Patreon Search Prospects Live Staff MLB Draft, 2023 MLB Draft A new year, a new board and new ranks. Even with the back issue, the Giants put Luciano on their 40-man roster during the winter. The injury adds more volatility to a profile that already had some and might cause Jones to open 2023 in extended spring training, but its encouraging that Jordan Lawlar returned to normal after enduring a similar injury. Wood has a real chance to both hit and hit for gargantuan power, and while his swing isnt geared for consistent lift at this point, he has the raw strength to do damage anyway. If the Giants are contending for a playoff spot, he may be called up during the 2023 season, perhaps first in a bullpen capacity, but he projects as an eventual impact starter. As Jackson worked out on one field and minor leaguers played and took BP on the quads other three diamonds, he stood apart from the rest in virtually every way. Big-bodied catchers with potent bats, like Travis dArnaud, Tyler Flowers and Diaz, are the sorts who tend to take a leap later in their 20s, which is the expectation here. The Phillies moved McGarry to the bullpen just before he was promoted to Triple-A at the end of 2022. For example, the gap between Padres shortstop Jackson Merrill (No. De La Cruz is a boom-or-bust prospect who could really bust or go supernova. While not quite as mountainous as skill set-cousins Gallo or Jorge Soler, Wiemers size and physicality set him apart from other players, even big leaguers, and he seems likely to get to power in big league games by virtue of how much raw thump he has. There is no 70 FV prospect in this years class and only two 65 FV prospects. -- $375,000, OriolesJoshua Liranzo, INF, D.R. A backfield wunderkind who stood out immediately because of his rare combination of size and athleticism, Alcantara has been a top 100 prospect at FanGraphs for a couple of years now. Major League Baseball's international signing period opens on Jan. 15, 2023. In 2022, the talented Cuban slashed a potent .275/.350/.471 and clubbed 19 home runs at High-A Winston-Salem as a young 20-year-old (he wont turn 21 until March) before descending upon Birmingham with the rest of Chicagos high-profile guys. Indeed, the size and character of the bonus pool was one of the areas of disagreement during the negotiations between MLB and the MLBPA this past summer. All Win Expectancy, Leverage Index, Run Expectancy, and Fans Scouting Report data licenced from TangoTiger.com. For instance, Marte isnt easy to beat in the strike zone. Some of Lawlars offensive performance has been inflated by his home parks hitting environments, especially Low-A Visalia and Double-A Amarillo.
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