The odds against 26 blacks in a row are about 66 million to one against; however, previous results have absolutely no effect on subsequent ones. Its the probability of 2 million people getting together about the population of San Diego each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. When making recommendations, I sometimes use affiliate links. That number is not just larger than all of the particles in the universe -- it's larger than all the particles in the universe if each particle were itself a universe. A man will produce about 12 trillion sperm over the course of his reproductive lifetime. Let's not get carried away here; we'll just deal with the human lineage. For a more thorough discussion of this topic, visit the Tao of Dating and Awaken Your Genius blogs. As a comparison, the approximate number of atoms in the known universe is 10. Its so unlikely, its almost impossible that youre here and taking a breath right now. Osterholm is one of the world's foremost public health professionals, having served for 40 years on the frontlines of such diseases as Ebola, SARS, MERS, Zika and everything else. They each roll the diceand they all come up the exact same numbersay, 550,343,279,001. This is a vastly greater improbability than one in 1050. Part of HuffPost Wellness. So, it seems fair to say that there are an infinite number of possibilities of any event happening not matter how remote the chance. I am only publishing a small number of his musings, but you can read his full article here: What Are the Chances of You Being Born?. So what's the probability of your being born? A little while ago I had the privilege of attending TEDx San Francisco, organized by the incomparable Christine Mason McCaull. Borels Law has since been enlisted by creationists and evolutionists alike to bolster their arguments. And the chances of that lasting long enough to result in offspring is one in two. And the chances of that turning into another meeting is about one in 10 also. This button displays the currently selected search type. It makes me want to practice love, forgiveness, gratitude, acceptance, service/charity, kindness, being humble while inherently owning my miraculous self. Step 1. Probability of same boy knocking up same girl: 1 in 2000. Awe and wonderment at merely being alive on even a bad or boring day makes perfect sense. First, let's talk about the probability of your parents meeting. This is also true of their parents, and so on till the beginning of time. Dr. Ali Binazir, who describes himself as a happiness engineer, thinks its way off the mark. Based on the data from the CDC . Then the probability of Mr. You are a representative of an unbroken lineage of life going back 4 billion years. A little while ago I had the privilege of attending TEDx San Francisco, organized by the incomparable Christine Mason McCaull.. One of the talks was by Mel Robbins, a riotously funny self-help author and life coach with a syndicated radio show. But its not even remotely comparable with 10^2,685,000. Id gladly take those odds over trying to become a millionaire in any other country. Dr. Gamblers always play the odds; their lives revolve around probabilities, and that has led many into dark places. Let's say a third of those (4 trillion) are relevant to our calculation, since the sperm created after your mom hits menopause don't count. In a recent talk at TEDx San Francisco, Mel Robbins, a riotously funny self-help author, mentioned that scientists estimate the probability of your being born at about one in 400 trillion. So let's say the probability of your parents meeting, ever, is 10,000 divided by 200 million, or one in 20,000. saving. They each roll the dice and they all come up with the exact same numberfor example, 550,343,279,001., A miracle is an event so unlikely as to be almost impossible. It makes me want to love better, to hug my baby more, to appreciate the miracles in my life, my family, my friends, my teachers, The animals, plants, precious food, the bugs and butterflies. The question is, how long will it take for the fly to bring the entire moon back to the earth? If you assume the current population is 1% of the history of humanity, the total number of combinations increases to 1.1 x 10^39. As a comparison, the approximate number of atoms in the known universe is 10. Or could they be underestimates of the true number? May 20, 2021; linda hunt commercials; nail salon in publix plaza near me . The scientists and Buddhists seem to agree. It has over 40,000 names organized into different categories, including Unisex, Boys Names, and Girls Names. The even better news is that the first one on Tue June 16, which is the Special Session on Joy, is free Continue reading "Brain Yoga: New Sessions" The Cycle of Hatred and Revenge Ends With Me A Homily for the 7th Sunday of the Year. There are only slightly more than 500 billionaires in America, making your odds of becoming one roughly one in 578,508. I believe The Source who I call God loves us infinitely, unimaginably. You exist, that is the only probable outcome, so the probability of you being you is 1. Essentially, what Borel said was that any event with a honking big (a technical term used by mathematicians) level of improbability would never happen. Me neither. Thats going to take a LONG time. That means that in every step of your lineage, the exact the right sperm had to fertilize the exact right egg such that you would ultimately be created. 2019 Ali Binazir, M.D., M.Phil, All Rights Reserved. The Zen philosopher, Basho, once wrote, A flute with no holes, is not a flute. Imagine there was one life preserver thrown somewhere in some ocean, with exactly one turtle in all of these oceans, swimming underwater somewhere. Get ready to have your socks blown off, ya beautiful miracle, you. So now we must account for that for 150,000 generations by raising 400 quadrillion to the 150,000th power: Thats a ten followed by 2,640,000 zeroes, which would fill 11 volumes of a book the size of mine with zeroes. On the Probability of Your Being Born.. Probability of every one of your ancestors reproducing successfully: one in 10. The following analysis, paraphrased at some points, is taken directly from Mr. Binazirs article: The probability of father meeting mother is 1 in 20,000. The likelihood that improbable events occur is controlled by the scale of the Universe. Thats a ridiculously huge number. On one try. Dr. Ali Binazir Specializes In Dating/Being Single Support, Empowering Women, NLP, Phobias/OCD And Wellness And Is Located In San Francisco, CA. One of the talks was by Mel Robbins, a riotously funny self-help author and life coach with a syndicated radio show. Let's say a third of those (4 trillion) are relevant to our calculation, since the sperm created after your mom hits menopause don't count. *wink wink* Well, hello thereBom chicka wow wowits: The chance of every one of your ancestors outrunning dinosaurs, disease, war and pestilence to live to reproductive age and reproduce successfully is one in 10. dr ali binazir odds of being born. I have over 2,000 posts here & my recovery related blogs are all under the RecovHer category at the top. So to the second question: how accurate is this number? But on all probability it would. Probability of boy meeting girl: one in 20,000. Were we meant to be, each and every one of us? So let's say the probability of your parents meeting, ever, is 10,000 divided by 200 million, or one in 20,000. He says its similar to the probability of a turtle sticking its head out of the one life preserver we toss out somewhere random in the oceans on Earth. One of my brothers made his own calculation regarding one of Binazirs assumptions and came up with a figure that would make the probability of existence even smaller: My numbers are more simplistic, but assuming 100,000 eggs/woman & 12 trillion sperm/man creates 1.2 x 10^18 combinations for every man/woman pairing (i.e., significantly more combinations than the 400 trillion or 4 x 10^14 mentioned in the article). Now go forth and feel and act like the miracle that you are., Buddhists have talked of the preciousness of this incarnation. On one try.. But, once we are born, we have an incredible opportunity to create our future . Dr Ali Binazir, Contributor Author, Happiness Engineer & Personal Growth consultant creating tools for greater wellness & flourishing Jun 16, 2011, 03:58 PM EDT | Updated Aug 16, 2011 This post was published on the now-closed HuffPost Contributor platform. Marcus Aurelius offers wisdom on how to use this fact. If they met one new person of the opposite sex every day from age 15 to 40, that would be about 10,000 people. The chances of your specific sperm meeting your specific egg? Contributors control their own work and posted freely to our site. I have one baby so far, but Im still fertile, according to science. He assumes each person is alert and awake for eight hours a day (this allows for downtime watching reality TV shows when the human brain is entirely inactive). A rational approach acknowledges that incredibly low probabilities is not the same as zero probability. And the chances of that lasting long enough to result in offspring is one in two. Tara MacIsaac is an Epoch Times reporter based in Toronto. No one else has had a soul like mine, no one will have a soul like it. So whats the probability of your existing? Say that over the course of all human existence, the likelihood of any one human offspring to survive childhood and live to reproductive age and have at least one kid is 50:50 1 in 2. Probability of boy meeting girl: one in 20,000. On top of that, to be born in a first-world country, the odds are even smaller. Youre not just one in a million, youre one in a 102,685,000. Previously, I had heard the Buddhist version of the probability of "this precious incarnation." So, the combined probability is already only about 1 in 40 million. This content is accurate and true to the best of the authors knowledge and is not meant to substitute for formal and individualized advice from a qualified professional. was alerted to a fascinating article by Ali Binazir, who sets forth mathematically the probably that each of us exists. Thats just the observable Universe; we havent the faintest idea what is beyond what we can detect with our instruments. In a 2011 HuffPost article, he set about calculating the likelihood of each of us being born. Theologically, of course, we are no accident; we do not exist by happenstance. Author and blogger Dr. Ali Binazir did the calculations last spring and decided that the chances of anyone existing are one in 10 2,685,000. dr ali binazir odds of being born. That means in every step of your lineage, the probability of the right sperm meeting the right egg such that the exact right ancestor would be created that would end up creating you is one in 400 quadrillion. What impresses me is that at the moment our parents came together to form us, the Creator of the Universe stopped what He was doing to give, to each and every one of us, a soul unique to itself. The odds of being murdered are relatively low when compared to other possible causes of death. Similarly, Dr. Ali Binazir, in his article for The Huffington Post, has a clever calculation that resulted in his estimate that the probability of being born is 1 in 10 2,685,000 . To say that we are contingent beings is a vast understatement. He calculated that an average human could expect to experience such an occurrence once every 35 days. So he gave us an analogy that helps: Its the probability of 2.5 million people getting togetherabout the population of San Diegoeach to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. Hello there! Just starting from your parents, the chance of them meeting and creating you is astronomically slim. Thats a pretty straightforward calculation. Binazir decided to test the Buddhist understanding against the modern scientific understanding. There were doorknobs and doorbells where one touch had covered another beforehand. When you do the math, which I didnt but Dr. Binazir did: That means in every step of your lineage, the probability of the right sperm meeting the right egg such that the exact right ancestor would be created that would end up creating you is one in 400 quadrillion.. So to the second question: how accurate is this number? In its Final Data report of U.S. deaths for 2010, the CDC reported assault (homicide) dropped off of the list of the 15 leading causes of death, becoming 16th, following pneumonitis due to solids and liquids.. He looked at the odds of your parents meeting, given how many men and women there are on Earth and how many people of the opposite sex your mother and father would have met in their first 25 years of life. On my birthday, I had a strangely pertinent thought: what's the probability of being born? That means in every step of your lineage, the probability of the right sperm meeting the right egg such that the exact right ancestor would be created that would end up creating you is one in 400 quadrillion. Lets say its a fly that moves at about 4 mph. In 1913, at the roulette wheel at the Casino de Monte-Carlo, the ball dropped into a black slot 26 times in succession. (This is also known as consulting especially if you show it all in a PowerPoint deck.). Fortunately, just such a person is poised at the keyboard right now, so lets get started. Otherwise they'd be different people, and so would their children, who would then have had children who were similar to you but not quite you. Anything with a lower probability than that would not happen, said Borel the numbers man. Now take whats left and live it properly. Marcus Aurelius. Want to Read. Step 4. According to author Mel Robbins, scientists have estimated that our odds of being born are about 1 in 400 trillion. So the combined probability is already around one in 40 million -- long but not insurmountable odds. That's a pretty straightforward calculation. This is the probability of you being born at the time you were born to your particular parents, with your particular genetic make-up. Be True to YOU (there is no one else like you, if there was they would have been born and not you), Odds of Being Born Infographic by Designer Sofya Yampolsky. Seriously, look around, look up to the sky, take this all in. enough to delve into higher mathematics discover there are many tripwires ahead of them. But let's think about this some more. The conclusion: The odds that you exist at all are basically zero., He illustrates it this way: It is the probability of 2 million people getting together each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. Dr. Binazir calculated that the odds against each of us being born produced a number that makes the brain hurt. So I got curious: are either of these numbers correct? 3.97 avg rating 549 ratings published 2010 5 editions. Then what would be the chance of your particular lineage to have remained unbroken for 150,000 generations? Because the existence of you here now on planet earth presupposes another supremely unlikely and utterly undeniable chain of events. Again, it is similar to the probability of winning the Loto: while my chances of winning are very small, the probability of someone (or someones) winning are much higher. Let's confine the pool of possible people they could meet to 1/10th of the world's population 20 years go (1/10th of 4 billion = 400 million) so it considers not just the population of the US but that of the places they could have visited. They each roll the dice and they all come up the exact same number say, 550,343,279,001.. One in 2,000. By all accounts, you shouldnt even be here. One in 400 trillion vs one in 700 trillion? The following analysis, paraphrased at some points, is taken directly from Mr. Binazir's article: The probability of father meeting mother is 1 in 20,000. We're about to deal with eggs and sperm, which come in large numbers. Now lets get down to some of the biological details: each sperm and each egg is genetically unique because of the process of meiosis; you are the result of the fusion of one particular egg with one particular sperm. If they met one new person of the opposite sex every day from age 15 to 40, that would be about 10,000 people. The analogy given by Dr. Ali Binazir on the probability of YOU being born is here: Its the probability of 2.5 million people getting together about the population of San Diego each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. And lets say the fly decides to bring the ENTIRE MOON back to the Earth, one grain of sand at a time. If I had 400 trillion pennies, I could probably build a decent-sized penny fortress with it. The learned professor was actually pulling everyones legs, but Littlewoods Law has been conscripted as proof of a number of strange theories. Pretty darn close, for such an unusual calculation. He looked at the amount of water in the oceans, compared to the size of a life-preserver. So now we must account for those 150,000 generations by raising 400 quadrillion to the 150,000 power: That's a ten followed by 2,640,000 zeroes, which would fill 11 volumes the size of my book. This is similar to the probability of any one star turning super-nova. By continuing to use our site, you accept our use of cookies, revised Privacy Policy and Terms of Use. Let's say a life preserver's hole is about 80cm in diameter, which would make the area inside about 0.5 square meter. Probability is a pure odd. Thats a number so huge it hurts to think about it. A lovely day to you. Namely, that every one of your ancestors lived to reproductive age -- going all the way back not just to the first Homo sapiens, first Homo erectus and Homo habilis, but all the way back to the first single-celled organism. To say that someone or something is contingent is to say that the existence of same is not inevitable but rather can only come about based on a number of previous things being true in a chain of being or causality. The good news is that the fee is only $10 per class 10-20x cheaper than therapy, and probably more effective. According to WolframAlpha, the total area of oceans in the world is 341 million km (131.6 million square miles). Lets say we have a insect thatmirabile dictuwe can send to the moon. You are wonderfully and fearfully made, and God has done a marvelous thing. What would we come up with ourselves starting with first principles, making some reasonable assumptions and putting them all together? But, despite your being an extremely wonderful person, such a statement is wildly inaccurate. Which ones bigger? By that definition, I've just proven that you are a miracle. And the chances of that turning into another meeting is about one in 10 also. You may think You say that to everyone!. Thats a pretty big number, I thought to myself. In 1943, the distinguished French mathematician mile Borel developed a law about probabilities that stated events with a sufficiently small probability never occur (Institute of Mathematical Statistics). The learned Frenchman put a number on it10 to the power of 50, written as 1050in order to impress upon the common herd that its members are not mathematicians. And the chances of that turning into a long-term relationship is also one in 10. Something was dropped and then picked up. The first single-cell organism emerging from an inanimate chemical soup is not something that could have happened by chance. It is like finding out how many angels can stand on a pin-head! Think of yourself as dead. First, let us figure out the probability of one turtle sticking its head out of the one life preserver we toss out somewhere in the ocean. They each roll the dice and they all come up with the exact same number for example, 550,343,279,001. Dr. Ali Binazir. You have the rarest of chances in the universe to experience what life feels like. Thats 150,000 generations. Previously, I had heard the Buddhist version of the probability of this precious incarnation. The chances of that turning into a long-term relationship is about . The Nobel Prize winning poet Wislawa Szymborska once wrote about two lovers who liked to think they'd met entirely by chance, but no, she says, there was nothing chancy about it. The odds of you being born as you are about 1 in 400 trillion, or more. Multiplying it all together for the sake of completeness (Step 1 x Step 2 x Step 3 x Step 4): Probability of your being born: one in 10. The Art of Female Orgasm: Tue 21 June teleseminar with Nicole Daedone, Dating App-ocalypse: 10 Reasons to Delete Your Dating Apps Right Now, How can I best serve you? Here's Dr. Ali Binazir on the probability of a human being born: "It's the probability of 2.5 million people getting together about the population of San Diego each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. The chances that they would then get knocked up? Well then, that would be one in 2 , which is about one in 10 -- a number so staggeringly large that my head hurts just writing it down. Now lets say the chances of them actually talking to one another is one in 10. The number of atoms in the known universe is estimated at 1080. The odds of you existing have been calculated by Dr. Ali Binazir. Now let's say the chances of them actually talking to one another is one in 10. Turtle sticking his head out of that life preserver is simply the area inside the life preserver divided by the total area of all oceans, or about 1 in 700 trillion. This includes personalizing content and advertising. The probability of this happening is 635,013,559,600 to one against. The only know outcome is that you were born to your particular parents. It seems like wasting our precious lives on self pity or addiction is even less attractive, in this light. Those who say Charles Darwins concept of evolution is hogwash gleefully seize on Borels Law to support their arguments. He attended the Ted Talk and wrote about it afterward, doing his own calculations on how likely your existence is. Probability of right sperm meeting right egg: one in 400 quadrillion. A man will produce about 12 trillion sperm over the course of his reproductive lifetime. dr ali binazir odds of being bornmartin et julien bouchet biathlon. Each sperm and each egg is genetically unique because of the process of meiosis. So the combined probability is already around one in 40 million -- long but not insurmountable odds. By that definition, Ive just proven that you are a miracle. 1/(100,000)(4 trillion)= 1/(105)(41012)= 1 in 4 x 1017, or one in 400 quadrillion. Our babys name creator can help you find a baby at 12 weeks old and unique name for your child. So the probability of your parents' chance meeting resulting in kids is about one in 2000. Well then, that would be one in 2 , which is about one in 10 -- a number so staggeringly large that my head hurts just writing it down. There is no reason not to be bold, to throw yourself at life with vigor every single day. By that definition, I've just proven that you are a miracle. This alone should boost any lingering low self-esteem quite a bit. If you shouldnt even be here, then what is the point of worrying? So beginning with your folks, your odds of you being born come out to 1 in 400,000,000,000,000,000 or 1 in 4 quadrillion. Previously, I had heard the Buddhist version of the probability of "this precious incarnation." It's the probability of 2.5 million people getting together -- about the population of San Diego -- each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. They each roll the dice and they all come up with. Or stalk me (with love.). This video makes a moving point, but it attributes our existence to luck. Because there you are futzing about on the internet reading incredibly interesting articles like this one. Even with the lowest statistic of 1 in 400 trillion, you would have a better chance of winning over $100 million dollar lottery 9 times over your life again than you would have being born. First, lets talk about the probability of your parents meeting. Copyright 2000 - 2023 The Epoch Times Association Inc. All Rights Reserved. Harvard alumnus and creativity consultant Dr. Ali Binazir tried to calculate the mind-boggling odds of one being born into existence on earth, and came up with interesting results. I think that was exactly Msgr. So now we must account for those 150,000 generations by raising 400 quadrillion to the 150,000 power: That's a ten followed by 2,640,000 zeroes, which would fill 11 volumes the size of my book.
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